When will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
Basic
8
Ṁ5852029
4%
2024
4%
2025
3%
2026
3%
2027
3%
2028
3%
2029
80%
NO
Resolves YES if there is a Wikipedia page called something like 202X Iran-Pakistan War (MUST contain the word war)
Resolves to the year that said Wikipedia page said a war started
Otherwise resolves to NO
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Iranian_missile_strikes_in_Pakistan
I will not bet in this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan before 2030?
22% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Pakistan in 2024?
5% chance
Will Israel and Hezbollah have a major war before January 1st, 2030?
15% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
36% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
54% chance
Will there be a war between Iran and Israel by the end of 2024
12% chance
Will Pakistan engage in military conflict with another nation before the end of 2035?
44% chance
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
37% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
14% chance