When will the next Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Basic
2
Ṁ1192048
33%
2027
17%
2032
17%
2037
17%
2042
17%
2047
Recent politburos have always included at least one woman. The 20th Politburo, chosen in 2022, is the first in decades that does not.
The 20th Politburo was also the first in decades to be headed by the same General Secretary who had headed the previous two, Xi Jinping. It is likely but unknown whether he will still be General Secretary in '27 and '32 (and beyond)
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/10/23/world/asia/women-china-party-congress.html
This market will resolve NA if there has not been another female politburo member by 2048
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the 21st Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party, to be selected in 2027, include at least one woman?
47% chance
When will the first Politburo Standing Committee of the Chinese Communist Party to include a woman be chosen?
Will China have a female leader before 2060?
37% chance
Will China have its first female General Secretary before Russia has its first female President?
36% chance
Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?
Will the Democratic Party Nominee for 2028 be a woman?
42% chance
Will there be a change in the members of the CCP Politburo Standing Committee by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will any member of the Politburo of the Chinese Communist Party be removed from their position before Autumn 2027?
67% chance
Will China have its first female General Secretary before the US has its first female President?
13% chance
Will Xi Jinping and Putin still be elected officials when US has Woman president?
52% chance