When will China release the Taiwanese (and Indonesian) fishermen seized on July 2nd 2024?
4
100แน€481
resolved May 29
100%82%
Within one year (August 1 2024 - July 2 2025)
2%
Within one day (end of July 3)
0.8%
Within one week (July 4 - July 9)
4%
Within one month (July 10 - July 31)
11%
Not within one year

"Taiwan has called on China to release a fishing boat carrying five people that it said was seized by the Chinese coast guard in waters near Taiwanese outlying islands."

Resolves to the date that the last fishermen held is released. Will resolve to 'Not within one year' if any of them die in Chinese custody.

https://hongkongfp.com/2024/07/03/china-urged-to-release-fishing-boat-carrying-5-crew-seized-off-taiwans-kinmen-islands/

Geopolitics
China
China Taiwan potential conflict
Taiwan
Indonesia
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https://www.taipeitimes.com/News/taiwan/archives/2024/11/17/2003827038

Captain was released in November

sold แน€23 YES

I have not been able to find anything saying they have been released, so the first two should resolve NO.

Agreed. Feel free to bet them to zero before I do so shortly

opened a แน€10 YES at 20% order

Oh, obviously I can't because the answers are not independent

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