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MANIFOLD
What will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing?
9%
89° S
9%
88° S
9%
87° S
9%
86° S
9%
85° S
9%
84° S
9%
83° S
9%
82° S
9%
81° S
9%
80° S
9%
Other

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve based on the official landing coordinates of the first Artemis mission to successfully land (presumed Artemis IV) as confirmed by NASA. The winning answer will correspond to the degree of southern latitude of the actual landing site.

  • Latitudes always round down.

  • If the landing mission does not occur (e.g., if the mission is cancelled), the market will resolve to N/A.

  • Official confirmation will be sourced from NASA press releases or official mission reports available at nasa.gov.

Background

NASA's Artemis III mission aims to return humans to the lunar surface for the first time in over 50 years. The mission is targeted for the lunar South Pole region, an area characterized by its unique lighting conditions, proximity to permanently shadowed regions that may contain water ice, and access to some of the Moon's oldest terrain.

NASA has previously identified several candidate landing regions near the lunar South Pole, noting that all such candidate areas are located within six degrees of the South Pole (generally within the 84° S to 90° S range). The exact landing site is highly dependent on the specific launch window, trajectory requirements, and surface conditions such as slope and solar illumination. As of late 2024, NASA has refined these to a set of nine potential landing regions, including sites like the Malapert Massif, Mons Mouton, and the rim of de Gerlache crater.

This description was generated by AI.

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