UK Chancellor vs Labour Victory

Ṁ1kṀ726

2029

ALL

15%

Reeves is Chancellor * Labour win the next election

30%

Reeves is Chancellor * Labour lose the next election

25%

Reeves is not Chancellor * Labour win the next election

30%

Reeves is not Chancellor * Labour lose the next election

It doesn't matter when the election is called.

The exact question is whether Rachel Reeves is Chancellor of the Exchequer on election day

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What is your definition of winning the next election? Most votes? Most seats? Forming a government? Forming a majority government? Something else?

@lisamarsh Labour get 50% +1 of the seats

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