Did Taiwan help Israel use pagers to attack Hezbollah?
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Plus
31
Ṁ4327
Dec 31
4%
chance

By the end of 2024, will the New York Times report that Taiwanese intelligence services or authorities knew about the attack in advance and took any action to assist that they would not have taken absent this knowledge?

I will not bet on this question.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/09/17/world/middleeast/israel-hezbollah-pagers-explosives.html

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bought Ṁ50 NO

They claim these were made by a subsidiary in Europe

bought Ṁ20 NO

My priors are that Taiwan would be unlikely to involve themselves in this fraught political situation given their other concerns.

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