
similar to previous question just this time how many injured
https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-820536
Israel apparently managed to kill or injure a significant number of hezbollah operatives
there are conflicting reports as to how many operatives were killed
I will resolve according to Wikipedia's estimate of number killed, they need not be confirmed (so if wikipedia says approximately 50 killed it will resolved to 10->100)
If the wikipedia page for this incident doesn't include an estimate (or if there is no wikipedia page) I will resolve to the best estimates of generally reliable sources such as the NYT, WSJ, Jerusalem Post or other sources I consider reliable. If there are conflicting numbers numbers, I'll prioritize according to the order I listed here (that is to say if the NYT and WSJ give different numbers I'll resolve acc to the NYT)
I will wait until at least new years 2025 to resolve to give some time for the fog of war to clear regardless of if numbers are published beforehand, if there is still no clear info I'll wait until new years jan 2026
If it turns out that the operation was carried out by someone other than Israel that won't affect my resolution
similarly, if some other israeli target were injured they will be included in the count (eg. PIJ Hamas IRGC)
Update: this will only include numbers from the Sept 17th attack
Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that the term "Hezbollah Operatives" (and members of other specified groups such as PIJ, Hamas, and IRGC) should be interpreted as combatants only for the purpose of this market.
Consequently, resolution will be based on estimates of injured combatants. The creator has noted that if the designated sources (e.g., Wikipedia, NYT, WSJ, Jerusalem Post) provide casualty figures but do not differentiate between combatants and non-combatants, it may be challenging to obtain a clear number that specifically counts injured combatants.
Wikipedia says more than 3500+ people injured
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_Lebanon_pager_explosions
I know not all are Hezbollah, but this has a wide margin from the 2500+, and how otherwise are we resolving this?
NBC saying 2700+ injured according to Lebanese Health Ministry
The militant group Hezbollah said Tuesday that pagers belonging to its members had blown up across Lebanon, killing at least eight and injuring more than 2,700, according to the country’s Health Ministry.
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/hezbollah-pagers-expolsion-lebanon-handheld-devices-rcna171457