By 2035, will an organisation be mining asteroids for resources?
26
1kṀ9202035
33%
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Resources includes metals and consumables. The organisation could be mining the resources to sell or to use for their own space operations.
A demonstration mission is not enough, the process must be used for its intended purpose. It does not have to be regular, or frequent, but should be routine.
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@JoshuaWilkes in the market title, when you say "by 2035" do you mean before 2035 or at the start of 2035?
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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