Which countries will legalize homosexual behavior by 2030( can Add countries)
➕
Plus
23
Ṁ1982
2030
36%
Lebanon
35%
Eswatini
35%
Indonesia
27%
Zimbabwe
15%
Russia
8%
Egypt

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

@JoshuaBartlett Can you elaborate on exact resolution criteria for Russia? What should happen in Russia (or maybe specifically in Chechnya) for market to resolve YES? Is it about formal law, or about unlawful detentions, "murders of honor" etc.?

It would be about formal law in all subdivisions of Russia

“The sharia courts that were established sentenced people to death for crimes such as adultery and homosexuality.[15]” ( wikipedia)

Either the law against homosexual behavior would have to be removed in Chechnya, or it would be on the books but inactive do to an enforced federal law outlawing Chechnya’s law.

Should it be a ban of sharia courts or something? Because, as far as I know, sharia laws are not officially recognized in Russia.

They were implemented by Ramzan Kadyrov, the official Head of Chechnya, who has open support from the federal government

Russian President Vladimir Putin "has empowered local leaders to enforce their interpretation of traditional Muslim values."[8

If Chechnya was a de facto independent region in conflict/territorial dispute with Russia, I would ignore Chechnya, but homosexuality is by any reasonable definition illegal in part of Russia.

Also this isn’t just a bunch of homophobic cops, you don’t get this degree of enforcement without some degree of formality, I bet there is internal documents and official policy on what to the punishment is for homosexuality or being a women with her hair out in public

So yes, the end of Sharia law ( or at-least the part on homosexual behavior)though the existence of extrajudicial homophobic violence, including “honor killings” would still be allowed for this poll

Ok, thank you for your answer. I will have to refrain from betting, since resolution criteria are still not clear enough.

@JoshuaBartlett would you apply this same reasoning to the US? "In the US it is illegal to release helium balloons"; "in the US it is illegal to wear a fake mustache to church". Do these sound right to you?

Yes

Fair enough

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules