At the end of 2023, in an incognito window, I will search 'manifold' (no quotes). If a Manifold Markets link is one of the first 25 links (not including links marked as sponsored) in the main-search result section, this will resolve YES, otherwise NO.
Currently manifold.markets is the 38th link when searched.
What counts as a main-search result?
I think this is best illustrated with a jankily drawn diagram! If after seeing this diagram, confusion remains, ask a question in the comments!
If Google substantially changes in such a way that the resolution criteria no longer make sense, I will resolve to the best of my ability based on the spirit of the market (feel free to ask hypotheticals to better understand what that would mean).
Due to the possibility of a subjective resolution, I will not purchase any shares in this market.
If Google puts some sort of carousel widget among the results where it shows e.g. 5 Twitter results containing "manifold", does this count as 0, 1, or 5?