Resolves yes if the US federal government makes it broadly illegal to share sexually explicit images generated by AI without the subject's consent, before the end of 2025.
I'm not a lawyer and don't have a rigid definition of what kind of ban would count, but this will resolve based on the common sense spirit of the question.
I will not trade in this market.
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@ShakedKoplewitz I think most scenarios in which this resolves yes would be a new law, but I could imagine other things like the supreme court making a ruling about this or the president passing some sort of executive action so I don't want to say it 100% has to be a new law. But it probably does, I don't think those other things are very likely.
Do you mean a law that covers AI generated images specifically?
Because it can be illegal in some contexts already - publishing them while implying they are real might be considered libel, using them commercially would likely be infringing on the right of personality.
Do you mean making it a federal crime enforced by FBI or other federal agencies?
If a federal judge finds it illegal using existing more general laws, does it resolve yes?
Or do you need congress to vote a specific law for that?
Note: AFAIK there already is some case being investigated by FBI using existing more general federal laws, but no judgment nor sentence yet (?).