Resolves yes if the US federal government makes it broadly illegal to share sexually explicit images generated by AI without the subject's consent, before the end of 2025.
I'm not a lawyer and don't have a rigid definition of what kind of ban would count, but this will resolve based on the common sense spirit of the question.
I will not trade in this market.
See also:
/Joshua/will-the-us-federal-government-make
Update 2025-05-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator confirmed that a bill such as the TAKE IT DOWN Act would lead to a 'Yes' resolution. This type of bill addresses the nonconsensual sharing of intimate visual depictions, including computer-generated (AI-generated) images, even if the bill also covers authentic (non-AI generated) images.
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