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MANIFOLD
Will the US be "back on the right track" by Christmas? [RCP Polling > 30%]
12
Ṁ170Ṁ2.2k
resolved Dec 26
Resolved
NO

RCP averages polls asking Americans the classic question of if the US is heading in "the right direction" or "on the right track".

Now, it's basically impossible to get a majority of americans to say the country is going in the right direction. But at the start of the year, we were doing relatively well! 30% of Americans answered optimistically! Now that number has sunk to 22.6, and seems to be trending lower by the day. Can we get back on the right track by Christmas?

This question resolves YES if RCP shows "right direction" with 30.0% or more on any day between now and December 25th.

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Manifold does not believe in Christmas miracles

predictedNO

@Shump Not this one! Resolving no.

predictedNO

Such pessimism! If not by Christmas, perhaps by Easter?