Will the US be "back on the right track" by Easter 2024? [RCP Polling 30%]

Question

RCP averages polls asking Americans the classic question of if the US is heading in "the right direction" or "on the right track".

[image]Now, it's basically impossible to get a majority of americans to say the country is going in the right direction. But at the start of the year, we were doing relatively well! 30% of Americans answered optimistically! Now that number has sunk to 22.6, and seems to be trending lower by the day. Can we get back on the right track by Easter 2024?

This question resolves YES if RCP shows "right direction" with 30.0% or more on any day between now and March 31st.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.