This market resolves Yes if a third movie in the Dune universe is officially announced as having its production greenlit before April 1st, 2024 Pacific Time. If not, this market resolves No.
Dune Part 2 was announced four days after Part 1 released, so it's possible a similar announcement could occur any day now.
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Director is taking a break, working on other projects and then will finish the script for Dune 3. then it will get greenlit. https://screenrant.com/dune-3-not-confirmed-greenlit-reason/
@MichaelWheatley would Dune 4 still be Messiah, or would it start Children (the best part of Dune imo)?
@Stralor I don't think he's said whether the Messiah script covers the one book in a single film but he has seemed pretty clear about this being his final Dune (things change obvs) so it wouldn't make sense if it was 'incomplete'?
@shankypanky ah, I also read Michael's res criteria which explain Dune 4-ish would have to be book 3 or 4
@shankypanky Announced as in production officially greenlit, which hasn't happened yet.