Who are all of the people who will be Speaker of The House before election day 2024? [Unlinked Free Response]
Basic
10
Ṁ3783resolved Nov 15
Resolved
YESMike Johnson
Resolved
NOJim Jordan
Resolved
NOSteve Scalise
Resolved
NOKevin McCarthy
Resolved
NOHakeem Jeffries
Resolved
NOPatrick McHenry
Resolved
NODonald Trump
Resolved
NOElise Stefanik
Resolved
NOTom Emmer
Resolved
NOKevin Hern
This is an unlinked free respone market, each option moves from 0%-100% independently of the rest and each option can resolve early as soon as it becomes true.
An option will resolve to yes if that person becomes Speaker of The House for any amount of time after this market is created and before election day 2024. On election day, all remainin options resolve no.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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@Conflux oh interesting. Simpler than I expected but I suppose I can see how it would be convenient. Can each market resolve early?
They can! So if Jim Jordan is made speaker this month his name will resolve Yes but the market will continue. If in November he loses power and Steve Scalise becomes speaker, then Steve's name will resolve Yes.
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