When will the OpenAI "Our Structure" webpage next update and show Sam Altman as CEO?
14
199
แน€875
resolved Dec 4
Resolved
YES
Before October 1st, 2024
Resolved
YES
Before January 1st, 2024
Resolved
YES
Before February 1st, 2024
Resolved
YES
Before December 16th, 2023
Resolved
YES
Before December 23rd, 2023
Resolved
YES
Before December 9th, 2023
Resolved
NO
Before December 1st, 2023

https://openai.com/our-structure

As of market creation, it shows the following:

This information is of course out of date, as we've been told that everyone on this list will be off the board except for D'Angelo but that Sam will remain CEO.

This is an unlinked multiple choice market, in which options will resolve "no" as a time period arrives without an update that shows Sam as CEO. If there is such an update, then all remaining time periods resolve yes.

If the "our structure" page is updated and does not refer to Sam as CEO, this does not resolve this market. I may add more time periods as necessary.

If they change the name/url of the page but it's still communicating the same general info I'd treat it as the same page. If they delete the whole page, then I'd wait for the time periods to arrive in case they add it back.

No other confirmation of Sam's return will resolve this market, this is specifically about when they update this webpage.

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bought แน€400 of Before December 9th,... YES

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@HenriThunberg

Nice! Weird they didn't change the "last updated" date, but it's def updated. And looks like he's listed as CEO in the main body, so I'll take it

bought แน€500 of Before October 1st, ... YES

@Joshua haha I panicked for a second there when I realize the newly changed text didn't include any mention of Sam.

I guess technically this resolves YES, even though I suspect they never changed the above-mentioned section that includes Sam.

tbh my criteria should have explicitly accounted for this, because we knew he was supposd to be off the board so we shouldn't have expected him to be in that bottom section. The fact that they updated that and didn't remove him elsewhere on the same page is definitely enough.

I note that one option is "before December 1st" and it is now December 1st in my time zone. Is there a standard Manifold time zone used by custom? (I'm new here, just learning how things work).

bought แน€500 of Before December 1st,... NO

@equinoxhq typically, if it is likely to come down to hours then people try to be specific about timezones in description or comments.

If that hasn't been described, I think it's unfortunately ambiguous between (usually) Pacific Time and Central European Time.

@HenriThunberg regardless, I think the Dec 1 can resolve @Joshua and you can also give specifics on time zones for future alternatives? ๐Ÿ™

Pacific Timezone was my intent.

bought แน€50 of Before December 1st,... YES

isn't sam CEO in the screenshot already?

Plus,

sold แน€43 of Before December 1st,... YES

@AxelJacobsen oh wait lol it hasn't been updated, I didn't read the question

Before December 16th, 2023

How specific can we get?