Troll Logic Megamarket: What things will "happen" by April Fool's Day? (In loving memory of Levi Finkelstein)
64
4.5kṀ9506
Apr 2
48%
Someone submits an option to this market after April Fool's Day because you forgot to close submissions
65%
This market will never close again after April 19th
85%
Every Twitter user simultaneously tweets the word "rationalussy"
82%
Partial US govermment shutdown
82%
Israel-Hamas ceasefire
23%
At market close, the total number of yes shares minus the total number of no shares in this market is expressible as the sum of two nonnegative cubes. (OEIS A004999)

Be warned! All options resolve according to the most trollishly correct argument presented in the comments! Everything in this market might be a trap! All mana bet is forfeit, no refunds!

Events must happen after the creation of this market and before market close at 9 PM PT, April 1st.

Whether something happened is decided by the person who submitted the option to the market, unless their ruling is challenged by at least two other users in which case I will then rule on the case with my own troll logic.

If my own troll logic is challenged by at least two additional users, then we will escalate even further to some form of Silly Court.

This market is intended to be in good fun, if I judge an option to not be in good fun I will N/A the option.

This market will be unranked and not count for leagues, unless one of the site staff who outrank me decides it would be funny to make it ranked.

Any of these criteria might be updated to better fit the spirit of the market.

l will not trade on this market.

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