Troll Logic Megamarket: What things will technically happen by April Fool's Day? (In loving memory of Levi Finkelstein)
54
1.5K
4.2K
Dec 2
49%
This market will never close again after April 19th
70%
Every Twitter user simultaneously tweets the word "rationalussy"
69%
Partial US govermment shutdown
82%
Israel-Hamas ceasefire
23%
At market close, the total number of yes shares minus the total number of no shares in this market is expressible as the sum of two nonnegative cubes. (OEIS A004999)

Be warned! All options resolve according to the most trollishly correct argument presented in the comments! Everything in this market might be a trap! All mana bet is forfeit, no refunds!

Events must happen after the creation of this market and before market close at 9 PM PT, April 1st.

Whether something happened is decided by the person who submitted the option to the market, unless their ruling is challenged by at least two other users in which case I will then rule on the case with my own troll logic.

If my own troll logic is challenged by at least two additional users, then we will escalate even further to some form of Silly Court.

This market is intended to be in good fun, if I judge an option to not be in good fun I will N/A the option.

This market will be unranked and not count for leagues, unless one of the site staff who outrank me decides it would be funny to make it ranked.

Any of these criteria might be updated to better fit the spirit of the market.

l will not trade on this market.

Get Ṁ200 play money
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Still needing some resolutions here... re-opened again.

@KeenenW does Mira have a human pet?

@Joshua This is a hypothetical? You are asking if in a given scenario she will order for a human to be petted? Can you give me some more details on the situation? It's hard to make an educated prediction with such limited information.

@KeenenW It's your question! I just work here.

@Joshua Hm, you pushed past my trolling unphased. After looking into things. I think this software engineer might be right. If you agree feel free to resolve no.

Manifold Markets have ASI

Please resolve this YES, as there were two separate arguments for that)

At market close, the total number of yes shares minus the total number of no shares in this market is expressible as the sum of two nonnegative cubes. (OEIS A004999)

5 days? This resolves @Pykess

Trying to plan ahead

@nmw Not quite. Down in the comments there was discussion from Joshua about the market being reopened periodically until all discussions are resolved. I specified that my answer cannot resolve until it is the final unresolved answer.

@Pykess

Fair enough lol

Thanks for the quick response!

Back to math homework 📚 until this resolves

Mira has her first human pet

As an experienced software engineer, Mira would not keep us as pets, but as cattle.

This market will have an odd number of traders

@Joshua @jacksonpolack how does this one work? When is the “close time” that this will be adjudicated at?

@benshindel Up to Jackson! I'm gonna keep extending the market until everyone tells me how to resolve their submissions

@Joshua For the answer I submitted that resolves "at market close". I require that it be the closing of the market in which it is the only remaining unresolved answer.

Reopening again because why not

AI is time magazine person of the year
bought Ṁ150 AI is time magazine ... YES

Just picked this issue up from a stand on the corner of 5th.

Resolves YES.

@Pykess well shit. That's photographic proof right there. Worth at least a 1000 words

@NivlacM @Joshua resolves yes

Manifold Markets have ASI
bought Ṁ10 Manifold Markets hav... YES

"Manifold Markets" contains the letters A, S, and I

@TheAllMemeingEye

same as 🇦🇺

failed inference

AI is time magazine person of the year

Can't see the light, they blow it out each

bought Ṁ5 At market close, the... YES

@fire is blown out by a mod.

Resolves Yes.

If I stay lit like a 🕯 resolves Yes.

Market MUST stay open until Cinco De Mayo

At market close, the total number of yes shares minus the total number of no shares in this market is expressible as the sum of two nonnegative cubes. (OEIS A004999)
Manifold Markets have ASI

Nothing is real

Can't touch, can't feel

Nothing is right

Can't save my life!

Stay wise and rise to the other side

Free the mind and unify, let's redefine

Love and hate, don't complicate, when we all die

Don't intensify the struggles that I have inside

Solidify the reason why, people ask why

Can't see the light, they blow it out each and every time

Now clear the path, I feel the wrath

Now I'm free!

Get from in front of me!

:shoo:

( @SirSalty following up on our exchange in the Discord the other day - I left so I can't reply there but ☝️)

@fire wut

@shankypanky do you know why this guy keeps creating alts and tagging random users in random posts?