Resolution Poll: Was "[Sam sending an email to staff about Helen Toner]" a significant factor in Sam Altman's firing?
23
resolved Dec 21
Yes
No
See Results

The full answer didn't fit in the title, and is:

"Sam tried to compromise the independence of the independent board members by sending an email to staff “reprimanding” Helen Tonerhttps://archive.ph/snLmn"

This is one in a series of polls which resolve a variant of the main Sam Altman Firing Market:

I leave it up to the voters to define what they consider a significant factor. Each option will resolve independently to yes/no depending on which option gets more votes in these polls.

I'm not sure if a poll is the best way to resolve markets around a mysterious event like this, but I think it's good for us to try out a lot of different formats so that we will better know what works for next time there is a mysterious event in the news.

I encourage you to write out your reasoning for your votes in the comments here or in the linked market.

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