Festival Personal Predictions: What will attendees say they did while attending Manifest / Less Online / Summer Camp?
11
1.8kṀ6242
resolved Jun 11
Resolved
NO
@JonathanRay's wife gets in an argument with the Collinses about maternity leave
Resolved
YES
@Joshua will get someone's number/contact info (professionally)
Resolved
NO
@Joshua will change his mind about something significant
Resolved
NO
@Joshua will win a wrestling match
Resolved
YES
@Joshua will get someone's number/contact info (romantically)
Resolved
YES
@Joshua will win a trivia competition
Resolved
YES
@Joshua will drink a really good cocktail

  • All answers resolve NO by default if I am not told to resolve them to YES by the person who submitted them before the end of Saturday, June 15th. (The weekend after the festival).

  • Resolution is generally up to the person who submitted the answer, just by the honor system. All answers have the unstated clause "according to the person this answer is about". You can delegate resolution power to someone who agrees to it, though.

  • You are encouraged to bet on yourself, to motivate yourself to achieve your personal goals! You can also bet /against/ yourself to hedge!

  • Don't risk more mana than you are willing to lose to someone betting on themselves and claiming they achieved their goal!

  • No proof is required, but you are encouraged to post fun pictures if you can.

  • Only submit answers about yourself, or your partner / close friend if they're okay with it.

  • Answers should be about what you'll do during the days you are attending Manifest / Less Online / Summer Camp, but can still include events that don't happen at Lighthaven itself.

  • Answers should resolve to NO in ambiguous situations, don't plan on any 50% or N/A resolutions. If the answer isn't definitely YES, it should be NO.

  • I do however reserve the right to N/A submissions according to my personal judgement. I might do this if I think someone is acting in bad faith or if a submission isn't a good fit for this market.

  • You can submit private answers! Just replace words with [redacted] and only tell your friends what it means! I encourage this for anything that might be a little /too/ personal.

Less Online, Summer Camp, and Manifest will take place from May 31st to June 9th in Berkely California.

You can find more markets like this at the Manifest Dashboard.

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I updated some probabilities but I think the spirit of this question is that I would have already resolved it yes if a yes resolution was correct, so resolving it no.

There's trivia in the relay I'm about to participate in...

Y'all should add some about yourselves! Feel free to copy mine.

@Joshua

Saturday, May 15th.

June (?)

@Ziddletwix Whoops! That should say June, a week after the conference ends. Edited.

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