Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
45
1kṀ12kresolved Mar 31
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
OpenAI reached a valuation of $157B in October 2024, and they'll probably need to raise more money by mid-2026.
Will OpenAI be valued at $300B or more at some point on or before July 1, 2026?
Funding rounds must close to count. Must be publicly reported company funding rounds or employee tender rounds, not random side-deals. Will be based on post-money valuation.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ835 | |
2 | Ṁ351 | |
3 | Ṁ192 | |
4 | Ṁ136 | |
5 | Ṁ119 |
People are also trading
Will OpenAI be worth $600B by mid-2026?
36% chance
Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
50% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
75% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
97% chance
Will OpenAI have $2 billion annual revenue in 2025?
97% chance
Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?
55% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
88% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
93% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
96% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Sort by:
filled a Ṁ350 YES at 84% order3mo
the gap between these two markets probably shouldn't be super big
https://manifold.markets/khu/will-openai-be-valued-above-1-trill?play=true
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will OpenAI be worth $600B by mid-2026?
36% chance
Will OpenAI be valued above $1 trillion before 2030?
50% chance
Will OpenAI reach $12B annualized revenue by end of 2025?
75% chance
Will OpenAI have $1 billion in revenue in 2025?
97% chance
Will OpenAI have $2 billion annual revenue in 2025?
97% chance
Will OpenAI be valued more than a trillion dollar at anytime before 2034?
55% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2027?
88% chance
Will OpenAI have >$10 billion in revenue by 2030?
93% chance
Will OpenAI have revenues of at least $5 billion (ARR) by the end of year 2025?
96% chance
Will OpenAI IPO before the end of 2025?
3% chance