Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
Will OpenAI reach a valuation of $300B by mid-2026?
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1kṀ12kresolved Mar 31
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OpenAI reached a valuation of $157B in October 2024, and they'll probably need to raise more money by mid-2026.
Will OpenAI be valued at $300B or more at some point on or before July 1, 2026?
Funding rounds must close to count. Must be publicly reported company funding rounds or employee tender rounds, not random side-deals. Will be based on post-money valuation.
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filled a Ṁ350 YES at 84% order3mo
the gap between these two markets probably shouldn't be super big
https://manifold.markets/khu/will-openai-be-valued-above-1-trill?play=true
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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