Will Gali Baharav-Miara be removed as Israel's Attorney General before 2026?
2
100Ṁ120
2026
40%
chance

Gali Baharav-Miara is 2 years into her 6 year term as Israel's attorney general. Numerous members of the ruling coalition have called for her removal (https://www.timesofisrael.com/resolution-compelling-mks-to-discuss-firing-ag-passes-51-0-after-opposition-boycott/). Every Attorney General since 1997 has served their full term.

This market resolves YES if at any point before Jan 1, 2026 (Israel time), Baharav-Miara is fired or resigns as Attorney General. Note that if her firing/resignation is announced but rescinded (e.g. Gallant in March 23) this does not resolve the market

  • Update 2025-08-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If the government votes to fire the Attorney General, the market will resolve as follows:

    • It will not resolve YES if the firing is frozen or disallowed by the courts.

    • It will resolve YES if the Supreme Court subsequently allows the firing to proceed.

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https://www.timesofisrael.com/high-court-freezes-dismissal-of-attorney-general-after-government-votes-to-fire-her/

Resolves yes if the supreme court allows the firing, but does not resolve as long as it is frozen/disallowed by the courts

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