In 2024, how much will the Democrat win the popular vote by?
6
56
แน830แน510
Dec 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
20%
The Democrat will lose the popular vote.
9%
0 - 1%
10%
1% - 2%
12%
2% - 3%
15%
3% - 4%
11%
4% - 5%
10%
5% - 6%
5%
6% - 7%
4%
7% - 8%
3%
8%+
Based on my previous market, /JosephNoonan/what-will-the-popular-vote-margin-b, traders find it very unlikely that anyone other than a Democrat will win the popular vote. That market used intervals of 2%, so here is one that gives a more fine-grained picture of how much Democrats will win the PV by.
Get แน200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will a Democrat win the 2024 US presidential election?
52% chance
If Trump is elected President in 2024, will he win the popular vote?
50% chance
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will the democratic party win the 2024 U.S. presidential election?
52% chance
How much of the popular vote will Joe Biden win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will the Democrats win the 2024 US Presidential election?
52% chance
What will the popular vote margin be in 2024?
Will a Democrat win the 2024 election?
52% chance
Will the Democratic candidate win the popular vote in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election?
71% chance
When will a Democrat lose the popular vote in a presidential election?