In 2024, how much will the Democrat win the popular vote by?
Basic
8
แน924Dec 1
19%
The Democrat will lose the popular vote.
11%
0 - 1%
8%
1% - 2%
16%
2% - 3%
18%
3% - 4%
9%
4% - 5%
8%
5% - 6%
4%
6% - 7%
4%
7% - 8%
3%
8%+
Based on my previous market, /JosephNoonan/what-will-the-popular-vote-margin-b, traders find it very unlikely that anyone other than a Democrat will win the popular vote. That market used intervals of 2%, so here is one that gives a more fine-grained picture of how much Democrats will win the PV by.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
How large will the popular vote margin be in the 2024 presidential election?
How much of the popular vote will Donald Trump win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
How much of the popular vote will Kamala Harris win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
What will the popular vote margin be in 2024?
In which states will the Democratic Party win a larger percentage of the vote for President in 2024 than in 2020?
Will the popular vote margin be at least 5% in 2024?
5% chance
How much of the popular vote will Joe Biden win in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
Will a Democrat win the popular vote in ALL of the following presidential elections: 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040
3% chance
Who will win the popular vote in the 2024 US presidential election?
Will the voter turnout in the 2024 Presidential election be 64% or larger?
51% chance