What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy) | Manifold

What will be the log change in bitcoin's market share among all currencies between 2023 and 2100? (M3000 subsidy)

7

3.4kṀ2461

2100

0.65

expected

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

X = 5/21/2023 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = 0.01
Y = 1/1/2100 Bitcoin market cap divided by total global M1 = ???

Resolves to the base-10 logarithm of (Y/X)
Total global M1 includes other cryptocurrencies.

Related arb-able markets:

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

If this resolved today it would be 0.556.
Total global M1: 65T
Bitcoin Market cap: 2.35T.
Ratio = 2.35/65 = 0.036
Log of the ratio of ratios: log(0.036/0.01) = 0.556

0.5 would mean the same market share it had at 50kish

People are also trading

Will Bitcoin reach $1 million by 2030?

Will Bitcoin hit $1M by 2030?

Will any cryptocurrency pass Bitcoin in market share by the end of 2030

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 70% before 2030?

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2030?

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2040?

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030?

Will a bitcoin be worth $1B by 2038?

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2033?

Related questions

Will Bitcoin reach $1 million by 2030?

Will Bitcoin hit $1M by 2030?

Will any cryptocurrency pass Bitcoin in market share by the end of 2030

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 70% before 2030?

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2030?

Will Bitcoin dominance reach 80% before 2040?

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2100? (5x amplified)

Will the Bitcoin to USD exchange rate fluctuate by a factor of 2 or more in 2030?

Will a bitcoin be worth $1B by 2038?

What will be the annualized nominal return of Bitcoin from 2023 to 2033?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy