If you make an ugly woman your wife, will you be happy for the rest of your life?
2
525
90
2970
29%
chance

Resolves to the first serious meta-analysis of the advice in the Jimmy Soul song. The threshold is >0 happier Ceteris paribus, p<0.01

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The worse their BATNA, the better they treat you to try to stay in the relationship? Lenin used this as a political formula, promoting random peasants into the bureaucracy, assured of their loyalty because they owed everything they had to the party.