How many months will elapse between general availability of Level 5 self driving and the first strong AGI? | Manifold

How many months will elapse between general availability of Level 5 self driving and the first strong AGI?

2

Ṁ70Ṁ40

2100

62%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves PROB to the number of months. YES if >100, NO if <0

Market context

Self-Driving Vehicles

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I suppose I need to precisely define my terms here

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Related questions

By when will we have AGI?

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Will six months or fewer elapse between when Manifold declares the achievement of AGI and superintelligence?

Will there be less than a year between the first AGI and the first superintelligence?

Will we get AGI before July 1st 2026?

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Will AGI be achieved in the next 5 years?

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