Bitcoin $100k before SPY $1000? | Manifold

Bitcoin $100k before SPY $1000?

9

130Ṁ1513

2051

98%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves Yes if bitcoin reaches $100k before Spy reaches $1000. Resolves No if Spy reaches $1000 before bitcoin reaches $100k.

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This should resolve yes in December 2024.

It is statistically more likely, a 3Z event vs 6z, but neither will happen.

predictedYES

@MarkIngraham Note the 2050 expiration date. It’s very likely both will happen by then.

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