Will HPMoR be sold on Amazon?
74
1kṀ47k
resolved Dec 7
Resolved
NO

Will physical copies of the Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality book series be sold on Amazon by the end of the year?

This market resolves yes if I can go to amazon.com and order a physical copy of [ETA 29 Oct 2023: at least the first volume of] [ETA 31 Oct 2023: all volumes in the series of] HPMoR and it arrives at my place, and predict that other people can order it too, just like a normal book; there should be a supply of >200 copies (i.e. this is not just a small number of second-hand copies, or similar).

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predictedYES

Do people think I should resolve this NO now? Anyone think I should not?

predictedNO

@JonasVollmer I'm too heavily invested for my comment to count, but if the existing copy has been pulled and the email from Amazon is the "final word" then I don't see a reason to drag it out to end of year

Another attempt could be made but the current situation seems to indicate it would only be temporary

predictedNO

@Dave_9000ish Resolving now, as nobody has objected, and 3 people (including Vikram) have agreed

predictedYES

Amazon has definitively told me this will not happen.

@VikramValame Why is it from "kindle content review" if we're talking physical books?

predictedYES

@chrisjbillington I was using KDP print-on-demand

predictedNO

@VikramValame even orignal listing is gone

https://a.co/d/00woD3f

predictedYES

@VikramValame Sad 😢 Congrats on trying though!

predictedNO

@JonasVollmer I really wanted this to happen, regardless of mana. I got my copy of the first volume at least! Good effort 👍

predictedNO

@VikramValame Do you know how many got sold?

Want to know how rare my copy is now. 😎

predictedYES

@marketwise I can’t even log in to my account, so no! Sorry :(.

predictedNO

@VikramValame Do you know what the violation was?

predictedNO

Is it looking unlikely from a pure time point of view? Remaining volumes by end December?

predictedYES

Update: Amazon says probably not happening. Better start selling!

predictedNO

@VikramValame was this just a ploy to tank the price?

predictedYES

No, it was not.

predictedNO

@VikramValame Do you have proof of amazon saying this?

predictedYES

Obviously? They sent me an email.

predictedNO

@VikramValame Can you show it here?

predictedNO

show or it didnt happen

predictedYES

@TheBayesian You’re free to bet yes!

predictedNO

@VikramValame why do you still have your yes position

predictedYES

@Dave_9000ish Well I’m not going to insider trade lol. I made my bet when I posted the books to Amazon, and I’ll keep it until they give me a final denial or acceptance.

predictedNO

@VikramValame insider trading is the best trading

predictedYES

@Dave_9000ish It's back

predictedNO

@mudPi314 eek.

Oh well, let's see what happens

predictedNO

@mudPi314 showing as un-back again for me?

predictedYES

@Dave_9000ish Oh wow, anyone have an idea what causes it to go offline?

predictedNO

@JonasVollmer ph'nglui mglw'nafh J. K. Rowling wgah'nagl fhtagn?

predictedNO

@Tomoffer by which I mean maybe it's jk Rowling (via her legal team), no idea though.

predictedNO

@JonasVollmer looks like it's no longer shipping outside of US on dot com site. Entering a US zip code causes it to be available again. So US Local setting applied. Available on amazon UK for UK delivery

predictedNO

@Dave_9000ish oh my mistake then, sorry - and I've ordered a version in the UK! I'm excited (though hoping for the rest of it...)

predictedNO

@Dave_9000ish it used to give me a different message along the lines of "we have it but won't ship to you", but I'll take your word for it!

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