MANIFOLD
Will Graphcore be a serious NVIDIA competitor?
9
Ṁ190Ṁ2k
resolved Sep 24
Resolved
NO

This market resolves YES if at any point of time before the resolution date (31 Dec 2026), Graphcore attains a valuation or market capitalization greater than 10% of NVIDIA's market capitalization at that time.

E.g., right now, NVIDIA's market cap is $1.07T, and Graphcore's most recent public valuation is $2.8B, or 0.3%.

Market context
Technology
AI
Finance
AGI
Semiconductors
Nvidia
Computer hardware
Machine Learning
Computer Science
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Resolved to NO, Graphcore was acquired for less than 10% of the market cap of NVIDIA.

@mods resolves NO

@JonasVollmer SoftBank acquires UK AI chipmaker Graphcore (2024-07-11), resolves NO as discussed.

SoftBank in talks to buy AI chip maker Graphcore (2024-05-09).

Reportedly, AI chip maker Graphcore in talks over £400m sale (2024-02-19). How does this resolve if Graphcore is sold? After the sale it is possible that valuation won't be public.

@SanghyeonSeo It resolves to NO, unless the Graphcore sale valuation meets the criteria.

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