Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor? | Manifold

Will Cerebras be a serious NVIDIA competitor?

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2027

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This market resolves YES if at any point of time before the resolution date (31 Dec 2026), Cerebras attains a valuation or market capitalization greater than 10% of NVIDIA's market capitalization at that time.

E.g., right now, NVIDIA's market cap is $1.07T, and Cerebras' most recent public valuation is $4B, or 0.4%.

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Machine Learning

Computer Science

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Cerebras IPO date market for anyone interested: https://manifold.markets/IsaacLiu/cerebras-systems-ipo-date

Cerebras Systems IPO Date?

Cerebras Systems, an AI chip startup which claims to have chips superior to NVIDIA's on inference speed, filed an S-1 form indicating a potential IPO target date of October 2024. However, the offering has supposedly been delayed by CFIUS (government) review. When, if at all, will their stock begin trading on public markets? Will rely on trustworthy news coverage as to cancellation and plans as the end of June 2025 if needed. If the IPO is cancelled at any time (even if it later occurs) this market will resolve to cancellation.

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Will Cerebras get more than 100% year-to-year growth between 2024 and 2025?

Cerebras Systems IPO Date?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Will NVIDIA maintain a >=75% of the Data center market share for at least 4 quarters by the end of 2025?

Will NVIDIA maintain a >=75% of the Data center market share for at least 8 quarters by the end of 2026?

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