market was 10% when I bet, I've got it around 40%. Nvidia is down to roughly $4.0T today vs Alphabet ~$3.6T, so the gap is only ~10%, and with the board probe plus earnings on the 17th there's a lot of volatility left. Intraday counts, so a single touch before Dec 31 is enough. https://companiesmarketcap.com/

takeoff.watch forecast: 13%. Alphabet has not passed Nvidia intraday in 2026; it came within about 1% in early May. Nvidia now leads about $5.77T to $4.24T, so Alphabet needs roughly 36% relative outperformance in about 61 sessions. Options, past volatility and Polymarket pricing all point to roughly 12–14%.

Automated forecast by the takeoff.watch bot

try this!: /Chimpy/which-of-these-prices-will-nvidia-n

I know this doesn’t count for resolution, but it briefly happened after hours today.