Any country claims Marie Byrd Land before 2027?
4
100Ṁ1462026
18%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves yes if any representative of a UN member state, acting in an official capacity, asserts that any part of Marie Byrd Land is sovereign territory of that state. The assertion may be informal (e.g., a public statement or social media post, even in jest, by a head of state). No further legal or administrative action is required.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen both. If someone makes a comment as a personal citizen that wouldn't count, but a joke from an official government account would
People are also trading
Related questions
Will any land currently held by the US breakaway before 2040.
16% chance
Will any state claim part of the Moon's surface as its sovereign territory before 2040?
52% chance
Will any country make a (new) territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
31% chance
Will the USA make a territorial claim in Antarctica, before 2030?
20% chance
Will the USA make another territorial acquisition by EOY 2035?
19% chance
Russia annex Svalbard before EOY2027.
4% chance