Will a military power declassify/acknowledge an aircraft that is in use today (18 Aug 23) by 18 Aug 24?
5
24
Ṁ119Ṁ130
Aug 19
17%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If an airframe is acknowledged as "in service" but the specific service dates are not acknowledged, this resolves YES.
This is for NEW acknowledgements/declassifications only: the USA saying "yeah the B-2 exists" does not count.
Leaks and foreign intelligence do NOT count: if e.g. Russia or some guy on Twitter talks about the USA's B-4 stealth bomber, this is not an acknowledgement.
Concept/test aircraft do NOT count; the acknowledgement must be that the aircraft is in military service as of 18 Aug 23.
"Military power" is a little subjective, but suffice it to say that if they're in the UN, they're good.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will the US Government make a show of declassifying everything on UFOs / UAPs before 2030
44% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2027?
54% chance
Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will the Iranian military publicly display its Su-35s by June 1st, 2024
22% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2031?
53% chance
Will the US bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2035?
66% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2028?
41% chance
Will there be a physical collision between a PLA aircraft and an aircraft of another nation's military before 2035?
41% chance
Will an F-22 Raptor shoot down a manned military aircraft before 2030?
33% chance
Will any aircraft carrier be lost at sea before 2036?
43% chance