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MANIFOLD
Will Bernie's 50% AI tax pass?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ316
Dec 31
6%
chance

https://x.com/i/status/2061631422188626083

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if the American A.I. Sovereign Wealth Fund Act (or substantially similar legislation introduced by Senator Bernie Sanders that imposes a 50% or greater equity/stock tax or mandates a 50% or greater public ownership stake in major AI companies) is signed into law or otherwise enacted.

If no such legislation is still under consideration at the end of 2026, this market will resolve NO at that time. Otherwise the market resolution will be extended.

Enactment will be verified using official U.S. government legislative tracking resources, such as Congress.gov.

Background

In June 2026, Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) announced his plan to introduce the American A.I. Sovereign Wealth Fund Act. Rather than taxing corporate profits, the bill proposes a one-time 50% equity tax on the stock of the nation's largest artificial intelligence companies (including OpenAI, Anthropic, and xAI).

The seized equity would seed a federally managed sovereign wealth fund. Under the proposal, the government would hold voting shares and receive equal board representation at these firms, using the fund's revenues to distribute cash payments and fund public goods for the American public. Critics and political analysts consider the proposal highly unlikely to pass due to strong bipartisan opposition to government equity ownership in private corporations.

This description was generated by AI. Review and verify everything here yourself. You can edit, replace, or delete any part of this description, including the resolution criteria. You do not need to trust the AI output.

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