Will Vercel fork the React codebase before 2024?
Will Vercel fork the React codebase before 2024?
21
410Ṁ2156resolved Jan 9
Resolved
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Given:
Vercel is highly dependant on React
Vercel's roadmap is likely different to Meta's
Vercel has hired a lot of highly respected and talented web engineers
Will Vercel create a separately maintained fork of the React Codebase before 2024?
Resolves posively if before 2024, Vercel both:
announces publicly that they intend to fork the React codebase and maintain the fork independently of the Meta React core-team
forks the React repository (private or public) and makes at least one commit that is not intended to be merged back into the Meta React codebase
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.