Will there be a major decentralized GitHub competitor before 2031?
25
1kṀ2980
2031
28%
chance

Resolves as YES if, by January 1st, 2031, a decentralized platform that aims to provide a similar or superior service to GitHub has been widely recognized as a major competitor. This platform must meet the following criteria:

  1. Decentralized Nature: The platform must operate on a decentralized network, such as a blockchain or other distributed ledger technology, without a single point of control.

  2. User Base: It must have a substantial user base, comparable to or exceeding 15% of GitHub's active monthly users.

  3. Repository and Project Hosting: The platform should host a significant number of repositories and projects, with both the quality and breadth of projects comparable to GitHub.

  4. Recognition: It must be recognized by reputable sources in the technology or software development sectors as a major competitor to GitHub.

Related questions:

/RemNi/will-there-be-a-major-decentralized

/RemNi/will-there-be-a-major-decentralized-jdlirumk7b (this question)



For reference, GitHub's active monthly user statistics can be found here: GitHub Active Users.

The resolution will be based on a combination of user statistics, content analysis, and expert opinions from reputable sources. If these criteria are not met by January 1st, 2031, this question will resolve as NO. If there is weak evidence that this has occurred, but no strong evidence, or if there is a significant debate that a competitor meets this threshold, then this question resolves as N/A.

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