
Will the Netherlands suffer a catastrophic flooding event before 31st December 2030?
Will the Netherlands suffer a catastrophic flooding event before 31st December 2030?
37
1kṀ21612030
46%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The Netherlands is facing significant challenges in relation to water management and a changing climate. Although technologies and systems to manage the risks are well established and in place, these mitigations may or may not be sufficient to prevent a catastrophic flooding event.
For the purposes of this market the definition of a catastrophic event is EITHER;
1) €100m or more in directly attributable property damage
2) the directly attributable loss of 10 or more human lives
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Between 2024 and 2030, how many people will be temporarily or permanently displaced by floods in the Netherlands?
Will the Netherlands win a World Cup by 2043?
20% chance
Will the Netherlands formally withdraw from the EU before 2030?
2% chance
Will English be an official language of the Netherlands any time before the end of 2030?
6% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2027?
23% chance
Will the Netherlands men's football (soccer) team win the FIFA world cup before the end of 2042?
19% chance
Will 10% of London die in any year from disaster, before 2035?
2% chance
Will the Dutch cabinet fall in 2026?
14% chance
Will the Mississippi River incur a catastrophic flood in the next three years?
55% chance
What Will Happen: Dutch Elections 2025