Resolution Criteria

The Department of Homeland Security funding expires on February 13, 2026. This market resolves YES if Congress passes and the President signs a full-year DHS appropriations bill (or continuing resolution) before this deadline. The market resolves NO if DHS funding lapses on February 13 without a new funding agreement in place.

Resolution will be determined by checking official congressional records at Congress.gov and news reports from major outlets confirming whether DHS funding legislation has been enacted into law by 11:59 PM ET on February 13, 2026.

Background

The Department of Homeland Security is on a two-week stopgap funding arrangement while the rest of the federal government is funded through the end of September. Congress has a 10-day window to negotiate a DHS funding agreement as Democrats demand reforms to rein in Immigration and Customs Enforcement and Customs and Border Protection. The disagreement centers on federal immigration enforcement following recent deaths in Minneapolis.

Considerations

The Senate stripped the DHS bill from the broader funding package and started a two-week clock to renegotiate it, indicating significant partisan disagreement over immigration enforcement provisions. The tight timeline and contentious negotiations create meaningful uncertainty about whether a compromise can be reached before the deadline.

This description was generated by AI.