On February 14, DHS funding lapsed again, and the agency is currently furloughing employees or having them work without pay. Without a government-wide shutdown to draw attention, when will DHS be funded? Will I ever go back to work?
I won’t bet on this market, but I will extend it if we get into April.
Update 2026-03-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution criteria for partial DHS funding scenarios:
If a bill funds most of DHS, leaving only parts of ICE and other immigration-related functions unfunded (that were already funded by OBBBA): resolves YES
If a bill only narrowly funds specific parts (e.g. TSA agents) while leaving other major parts of DHS unfunded: resolves NO
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A bit of extra hair-splitting - if a bill passes to fund most of DHS, leaving only parts of ICE and other immigration-related functions to be funded (that were basically already funded by OBBBA), then I will resolve YES. However, if a bill passes that narrowly funds TSA agents, but still leaves other parts of DHS unfunded, then I will resolve NO.
@AriScott Is the time zone for "before" ET? Also the shutdown may last until after midterms at this rate...
@Dssc Yes Eastern time (DC). I'll make a new option for every two weeks if it goes past the end of March.
@AriScott It's March 23rd, shutdown still continuing (Although it looks like some progress has been made?)