Will Stripe IPO by the end of June 2022?
10
26
แน665แน100
resolved Jul 2
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve to yes if shares of Stripe are available for purchase on Nasdaq, the New York Stock Exchange, or any other major stock exchange, at any time on or before June 30th, 2022.
Jan 13, 10:22pm: #stocks
Jan 13, 10:24pm: #IPO
Get แน200 play money
๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน10 | |
| 2 | แน6 | |
| 3 | แน4 | |
| 4 | แน1 | |
| 5 | แน1 |
Sort by:
(meta)
I'm confused. Now that this is at 3% with M$ 665 in the market:
If I bet M$ 20 on YES the payout would be M$330(+1554.2%). (Prob 3% -> 11%)
If I bet M$ 200 then the payout would be M$645(+222.6%). (Prob 3% -> 99.4%)
Why would I make relatively less M$ by betting more?
Is it because there are only M$ 665 in the market?
@antani Yeah, markets don't create M$, so it can't pay out more than the sum of all the bets + subsidy. In general, if your bet moves the probability a lot, you're going to get a lower % payout because your average cost-per-share is higher.
Related questions
Related questions
Will SpaceX IPO before the end of 2026?
16% chance
At what market cap will Stripe exit?
86B
Will Stripe go public by the end of 2024?
21% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2025?
20% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2024?
3% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2027?
72% chance
Will Twitter IPO by 2028?
45% chance
Will Notion IPO before the end of 2026?
33% chance
Will Starlink IPO by the end 2026?
49% chance
Circle IPO by June 30, 2024?
31% chance