Resolves YES if Stripe acquires all of Paypal. Also can resolve YES for a partial acquisition: for a partial acquisition to trigger a YES resolution, the transaction must meet at least ONE of the following criteria: The publicly reported purchase price for the acquired subsidiary/assets is equal to or greater than $1 Billion USD. Stripe explicitly acquires one of the following major PayPal brands as a going concern: Braintree, Venmo, Zettle, Xoom, or Honey.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 7% chance (53 traders, as of Oct 17, 2026).

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

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Dec 31

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Resolves YES if Stripe acquires all of Paypal.

Also can resolve YES for a partial acquisition: for a partial acquisition to trigger a YES resolution, the transaction must meet at least ONE of the following criteria:

The publicly reported purchase price for the acquired subsidiary/assets is equal to or greater than $1 Billion USD.
Stripe explicitly acquires one of the following major PayPal brands as a going concern: Braintree, Venmo, Zettle, Xoom, or Honey.

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TBH, after all that buyout drama and the board playing hardball, I'd be shocked if a Stripe and PayPal deal actually happened. Part of me thinks it would've been wild for fintech, but PayPal's legacy backend is such a mess compared to Stripe's clean setup that it would've been a total nightmare to integrate anyway. Still pretty funny watching PayPal just trade on buyout rumors instead of any actual business turnaround.