Resolves YES if Stripe acquires all of Paypal. Also can resolve YES for a partial acquisition: for a partial acquisition to trigger a YES resolution, the transaction must meet at least ONE of the following criteria: The publicly reported purchase price for the acquired subsidiary/assets is equal to or greater than $1 Billion USD. Stripe explicitly acquires one of the following major PayPal brands as a going concern: Braintree, Venmo, Zettle, Xoom, or Honey.

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 10% chance (45 traders, as of Mar 9, 2026).

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

MANIFOLD

Will Stripe acquire PayPal in 2026?

Ṁ1.6kṀ5.1k

Dec 31

10%

chance

ALL

Resolves YES if Stripe acquires all of Paypal.

Also can resolve YES for a partial acquisition: for a partial acquisition to trigger a YES resolution, the transaction must meet at least ONE of the following criteria:

The publicly reported purchase price for the acquired subsidiary/assets is equal to or greater than $1 Billion USD.
Stripe explicitly acquires one of the following major PayPal brands as a going concern: Braintree, Venmo, Zettle, Xoom, or Honey.

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87 Trades