Will the Speaker of the House be ousted again before the next Congress begins?
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265
αΉ€1k
2025
17%
chance

At any point before the 118th Congress concludes, will there be another successful 'motion to vacate', removing the Speaker of the House?

Presumably this would be removing Mike Johnson, but if other circumstances change the Speaker without a motion to vacate (e.g. illness or resignation), this will resolve yes only if a motion to vacate later ensues and succeeds.

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bought αΉ€30 YES

Always betting on maximum dysfunction with these guys

bought αΉ€0 of YES
predicts YES

Well, this is thick enough that probably the market is right that it's unlikely. Not selling my YES because I still think y'all're overestimating the coherency and ability to stick to deals of the current GOP House caucus, but it's probably not 50+% like I thought.

bought αΉ€15 of YES

i honestly think no shot here but i LOVE chaos

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