MARKET CANCELED IN PROTEST AT MANIFOLD POLICIES

https://manifold.markets/Arete/is-syzygy-on-the-glowfic-constellat is a market on the same proposition, but resolves YES if it is a collaboration under a shared pseudonym.

Aevylmar

If Syzygy is an account used by Eliezer and another author cowriting the thread disguised as a single author, which way does this thread resolve?

Arete

@Aevylmar I would resolve it YES if Eliezer is cowriting even if he's not writing the whole thing, NO if it's entirely written by another author who is asking him a large number of questions behind the scene.

This market will resolve YES only if Syzygy is Eliezer writing without (human) assistance under a different pseudonym from his primary account. If the other market resolves NO, this will also resolve NO.

https://glowfic.com/users/884

Is Syzygy on the Glowfic constellation an alternate account of Eliezer Yudkowsky?

34% chance. https://glowfic.com/users/884