The ultimate risk-taking opportunity for whales.
@FairlyRandom will pick a number N, N = 1,2
if 1, the market resolves YES; if 2, NO.
Leverage up for your 2x return of a century!!!
Part I: https://manifold.markets/case/the-crystal-coin-flip
I reserve the right to end this market and flip the coin at any time!
Update 2026-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has announced that the coin flip will occur soon ("in a few...possibly"), which may be before the scheduled close date of February 17, 2026. The creator reserves the right to end the market and flip the coin at any time.
Update 2026-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will be closed before the coin flip occurs.
Update 2026-02-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): @FairlyRandom has picked the number 2, so this market will resolve NO.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ54 | |
| 2 | Ṁ14 | |
| 3 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
@JeromeHPowell your random number is: 2
Salt: zsu25rob7s, round: 5846366 (signature 986eb2896000ed3000e4fe7d16fdea8af8ae9067d723faad3724ee2e4714b15acb35bf21439e88ed308b93fe5be100ed14bd6c16d0c268be07dee68b0a16f3365a3ea54814f2e42a0efa2564b46a855a8b7b6b25f791d7b47ec427e983e1a182)
@JeromeHPowell you asked for a random integer between 1 and 2, inclusive. Coming up shortly!
Source: GitHub, previous round: 5846364 (latest), offset: 2, selected round: 5846366, salt: zsu25rob7s.
@JeromeHPowell You better roll FairlyRandom only after the market closes.
Because this is beautiful.
@JeromeHPowell Somebody should fill your limit order so I can set up a new round of my own limit orders and make it look beautiful once more.
@JeromeHPowell I think I'm more of a shark than I am a whale in terms of mana biomass.
@JeromeHPowell do ya think I got the smoothest profit graph on the site by betting big on goddamn coin flips? No, I got it by being so risk averse that it's counterproductive dammit! As God intended! /s
