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MANIFOLD
Will "Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?" resolve before March 7?
7
Ṁ100Ṁ313
resolved Feb 23
Resolved
YES
https://manifold.markets/Duncan/will-russia-invade-ukraine-before-t The description of the most traded MM market says "Will Russian military have a presence within the Ukraine before March 1st, 2202?" It's probably just a typo and they mean 2022, right?... Or could it be a secret plot to steal all of our hard-earned $M? Probably not. But what if it is? This market closes on February 28, 23:59 Kyiv time. It resolves YES if "Will Russia invade Ukraine before the end of February?" resolves (to any value, including N/A) before March 6, 23:59 Kyiv time.
Market context
Politics
Ukraine-Russia war
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I see. That gives me a lot of power over this market :-) I'll keep mum.
You wrote a wrong year in the description of your question. If taken literally, you could keep the market unresolved until Russia eventually invades (possibly years or decades in the future) and then resolve YES.
Sorry, what?
I love a punt like this :P Hey Duncan, if you're listening...

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