This market will resolve early with probability 50%. Will it resolve early?
33
100Ṁ2818resolved Apr 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
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When this market closes, I will flip a fair coin.
If it lands heads, I will resolve this market to YES soon after closing.
If it lands tails, I will resolve this market to NO about a year after closing.
Mar 12, 10:00pm: I will go to https://blockexplorer.one/bitcoin/mainnet and take the rightmost digit of the first hash after this market closes. Even = heads = YES, odd = tails = NO.
Mar 13, 12:16am: The hash is 00000000000000000009554288443c39f85f3e531e9e60c48db2d01a22585b81, which is odd. I'll resolve this market to NO in a year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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