Resolves on news reports from at least one of:
• ABC
• CBS
• NBC
• PBS
• NPR
• CNN
• Fox
• MSNBC
• Associated Press
• New York Times
• Washington Examiner
• Wall Street Journal
• USA Today
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By my estimation, currently Pete Hegseth and RFK count. My own opinion on my below question is that resolution of this market should wait until the official nominations are submitted to the senate; a "nominee" is whoever is submitted as a nominee for senate confirmation (at least for those positions which require senate confirmation)
@marvingardens Gaetz was nominated by Trump on November 13.
https://www.npr.org/2024/11/13/g-s1-34072/trump-matt-gaetz-attorney-general-doj-oversight
@JeffBerman The headline says "to nominate". He was planned to be nominated. He withdrew from consideration.
In an informal sense, any utterance by Trump indicating an intention to try and place someone at the head of an agency could be said to be a "nomination". However, a formal nomination is when you are submitted to the Senate for confirmation.
There are multiple news reports of Gaetz’s nomination.
https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/13/politics/matt-gaetz-attorney-general/index.html
@JeffBerman Please ctrl-F "nomin" in the article you just linked to see that literally all usages of the word are about his intention to nominate to the senate in the future.
"The selection, which will be subject to Senate approval once Gaetz is formally nominated by Trump,"
"Trump announced his intention to nominate Gaetz as attorney general"
"He promised the Senate will 'vet' and 'look at' all of Trump’s nominees during the confirmation process"
For the event that is actually being reported, the words used are "picked", "chosen", "selected". CNN in your article is actually being fairly precise. I wouldn't be surprised if you could find sources which are being less precise; I'm glad you led with these.
@JeffBerman He could also tweet "I declare bankruptcy", but that's not how you declare bankruptcy.
You wrote "resolves on news reports". That is your sensible resolution criteria. Then you linked some news reports which make the exact relevant distinction
https://www.cnn.com/2024/11/13/politics/matt-gaetz-attorney-general/index.html
That's not how you declare bankruptcy but that is how you nominate someone to a government position: by announcing the nomination.
@JeffBerman You just linked the same CNN piece we already discussed a second time.
The NPR piece is less clear about the distinction, but still does not contradict the reading that the nomination is in the future.
I'm a little lost on how to engage with these links when your strategy seems to be to pepper them out without reference to their contents