Market will resolve based on the first person to serve in a role for which Trump has announced his planned nominee. That is, if in 2024 Rubio announces he would prefer not to be Sec’y of State in order to spend more time with his beloved yaks, but he ends up as Sec’y of State in 2027, he would count for this. If he somehow ends up Sec’y of the Interior instead, that would also count. (As two, actually, since it would displace another announcee.)
Update 2025-28-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Includes only nominees announced via Truth Social or Twitter posts
Primarily includes positions requiring Senate confirmation, but not limited to
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The president nominates a lot of people besides the cabinet. Maybe 1300, does this include them all? Political Appointee Tracker
@Riley12 I intended it to include only those he announced with posts on Truth Social/Twitter. I think that leans heavily towards, but is not limited to, positions requiring Senate confirmation.
@njmkw WaPo says 1300 positions that require senate confirmation, they're tracking 817. I would say just use that as the resolution source. Rules didn't state constraints on what nominations were sufficient
@njmkw - at this point I think zero can be resolved no and 1 or more can be resolved yes
@AIC It seems distantly possible, though very unlikely, that Gaetz will still serve as AG, so I’m going to wait until people are confirmed or recess appointmented.