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MANIFOLD
GPT-5.6 Outperforms Claude Fable 5 on FrontierMath Tier 4?
13
Ṁ100Ṁ1.9k
resolved Jul 9
Resolved
NO
66

Resolves to the next GPT model released regardless of number. Only the “stock” GPT counts, so no mini, nano, pro, codex, etc

  • Update 2026-06-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The model "Sol" will count as the relevant GPT model for this market, as its pricing is comparable to GPT-5.5.

  • Update 2026-07-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator is waiting for Epoch to publish results before resolving. Based on the OpenAI page, GPT-5.6 (Sol) appears to score well below Claude Fable on FrontierMath Tier 4.

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https://openai.com/index/gpt-5-6/ has 5.6-Sol well below Fable. Will wait for Epoch to resolve

Okay, so for the purposes of this market I have decided that “Sol” is going to count as the relevant model here since its pricing is comparable to 5.5