Will the next Claude Fable release score higher on ECI than the next GPT Astra release?
9
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k2027
33%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is for the next Fable/Mythos class model (or higher tier, if such is the next release) after Fable 5.1 (at ECI 163), and the next Astra or higher tier GPT model after Astra 6 (at ECI 169).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
When will the next Claude Fable be released?
10/29/26
Claude Fable 5.2+ (Anthropic) release date
What will Claude Fable 5 score on ARC-AGI-3?
28% chance
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of March 2027?
86% chance
Will any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
47% chance
Will the next Claude Fable model use encrypted compaction?
56% chance
Leap: ECI record beaten by >= 9 points before 2028?
8% chance