Will Anthropic release a reasoning model before March 2025?
120
1kṀ38k
resolved Feb 24
Resolved
YES

Resolves yes if Anthropic releases a model for public use before March

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From AWS Bedrock:

@nabereon
```
claude37: {

sonnet: {

description:

"Claude 3.7 Sonnet is Anthropic's most intelligent model to date and the first Claude model to offer extended thinking—the ability to solve complex problems with careful, step-by-step reasoning. Anthropic is the first AI lab to introduce a single model where users can balance speed and quality by choosing between standard thinking for near-instant responses or extended thinking or advanced reasoning. Claude 3.7 Sonnet is state-of-the-art for coding, and delivers advancements in computer use, agentic capabilities, complex reasoning, and content generation. With frontier performance and more control over speed, Claude 3.7 Sonnet is the ideal choice for powering AI agents, especially customer-facing agents, and complex AI workflows.",

supportedUseCases:

"RAG or search & retrieval over vast amounts of knowledge, product recommendations, forecasting, targeted marketing, code generation, quality control, parse text from images, agentic computer use, content generation",

modelAttributes:

"Reasoning, Text generation, Code generation, Rich text formatting, Agentic computer use",

languages:

"English, French, Modern Standard Arabic, Mandarin Chinese, Hindi, Spanish, Portuguese, Korean, Japanese, German, Russian, Polish, and other languages."

}

}
```

Created a question about Anthropic announcing a new model today: https://manifold.markets/MalachiteEagle/will-anthropic-announce-a-new-model

bought Ṁ50 YES

Dylan Patel repeats claim about Anthropic having a better reasoning model than o3: https://x.com/mark_k/status/1886769660344877073

@MalachiteEagle Sure, they have it, but I don’t think that’s evidence that they’ll release it. COT is expensive, and Patel has also said that Anthropic is fine keeping its big expensive models to themselves in order to accelerate their engineering work.

@cherrvak I think Anthropic cares about attracting talent, and it's valuable to have prestigious releases of frontier models towards this goal

@MalachiteEagle Ah, but as your linked tweet claims, they are “safetyists”, regularly putting out press about the dangers posed by models just slightly more advanced than whatever their API offers. And are they still focused on hiring at all costs, what with their fancy models improving the efficiency of the expensive engineers that they already employ?

@cherrvak I think Mark Krestchmann makes an interesting point but I think he is mostly wrong in his assessment of the situation.

they are edging us right now

filled a Ṁ30 YES at 60% order

Will hurt them a lot now if they don't release a reasoning model. Before deepseek ok, after deepseek not so ok

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